Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.001819 0.001931 0.002046 0.002175 0.002313 0.002459 0.002625
2025-04-13 0.001625 0.001779 0.001944 0.002135 0.002352 0.002589 0.002872
2025-04-20 0.001461 0.001635 0.001827 0.002057 0.002326 0.002632 0.003010
2025-04-27 0.001389 0.001584 0.001806 0.002078 0.002406 0.002790 0.003281
2025-05-04 0.001344 0.001559 0.001809 0.002123 0.002510 0.002979 0.003596
2025-05-11 0.001317 0.001551 0.001828 0.002185 0.002636 0.003196 0.003956
2025-05-18 0.001273 0.001519 0.001815 0.002202 0.002704 0.003342 0.004231
2025-05-25 0.001206 0.001455 0.001758 0.002161 0.002693 0.003382 0.004364
2025-06-01 0.001156 0.001407 0.001719 0.002140 0.002704 0.003449 0.004536
2025-06-08 0.001125 0.001384 0.001709 0.002155 0.002762 0.003581 0.004804
2025-06-15 0.001083 0.001344 0.001674 0.002134 0.002770 0.003643 0.004973
2025-06-22 0.001047 0.001309 0.001646 0.002120 0.002785 0.003713 0.005157
2025-06-29 0.001001 0.001263 0.001603 0.002088 0.002781 0.003766 0.005332
2025-07-06 0.000956 0.001216 0.001558 0.002052 0.002769 0.003806 0.005493
2025-07-13 0.000900 0.001153 0.001489 0.001979 0.002698 0.003754 0.005505
2025-07-20 0.000882 0.001140 0.001486 0.001998 0.002764 0.003913 0.005864
2025-07-27 0.000872 0.001137 0.001498 0.002041 0.002866 0.004131 0.006338
2025-08-03 0.000868 0.001143 0.001522 0.002100 0.002996 0.004400 0.006922
2025-08-10 0.000851 0.001130 0.001517 0.002117 0.003061 0.004568 0.007343
2025-08-17 0.000819 0.001093 0.001477 0.002078 0.003034 0.004583 0.007489
2025-08-24 0.000793 0.001066 0.001450 0.002057 0.003036 0.004646 0.007727
2025-08-31 0.000779 0.001054 0.001446 0.002071 0.003095 0.004808 0.008165
2025-09-07 0.000757 0.001029 0.001421 0.002052 0.003096 0.004870 0.008413